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INVEST 96L Cancun – Playa – Riviera Maya

Travel Guru — Tue, 28 Sep 2010 00:18:12 +0000

Well that area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean is now INVEST 96L a low pressure with a poorly defined cetner of circulation with winds of 26 mph / 40 kph moving EAST if you will.

Currently the National Weather Center in Mexico has issued at 3PM today a SEVERE STORM WARNING for Quintana Roo, Yucatan, Campeche, Veracruz and Chiapas. Northern Quintana Roo has a TORRENTIAL RAIN WARNING for the next 6 hours.

Currently here in Playa Del Carmen since around 4PM we are experiencing Rain with Heavy Downpours, occasional Thunderstorms and local Flooding.

Tropical Satellite Closeup Cancun and The Riviera Maya

Tropical Storm Matthew Downgraded to Tropical Depression

Travel Guru — Sat, 25 Sep 2010 23:22:15 +0000

Tropical Storm Matthew has been downgraded to a Tropical Depression but dumping torrential rains on Central America.

Tropical Depression Matthew continues over land moving West Northwest at 15 mph / 22 kph and has not yet slowed down. The steering winds are expected to break down over the next 24 hours and the system should stall in the lower part of the Yucatan Peninsula for 2 or 3 days until is disappears. Don’t be fooled though, even though not a tropical storm or hurricane when Matthew downgrades to a low pressure system he will continue to dump torrential rains on Central America and Southern Mexico in the area of Chiapas, Tabasco, Campeche, Southern Veracruz and Southern Quintana Roo.

The area of the Northern Peninsula will be affected by rains heavy at time from the outer bands of Tropical Depression Matthew, in fact today in Northern Playa Del Carmen we had some scattered showers in the morning and early afternoon while in the Center of Playa Del Carmen rain in the morning was torrential causing flooding of some bad drainage areas and low areas.

Tropical Satellite Image of Conditions Around Tropical Depression Matthew

The National Weather Service in Mexico has issued an Intense Storm Warning.

A special advisory for the INTENSE STORMS for the next 7 hours (Until 3pm September 26) for the following states and regions but we expect that the special advisory will be updated to exclude Quintana Roo and Yucatan but expanded to include at least 5 or 6 other Central Mexico and South Central Mexico States.

Until Sunday 3 PM

Chiapas

Oaxaca

Veracruz

Campeche

Southern Quintana Roo

High Possibility of rain with accumulations of 350 mm in 72 horas or more. The potential of rain is associated with a tropical low pressure interacting with Cold Front ·2 and Tropical Storm Hermine.

The intensity of the Storms can be accompanied by torrential rain, Cloud to Cloud and Cloud to Ground Lightning, HAIL and STRONG WINDS which can cause damage to property. Depending on the geographical area can also produce FLASH FLOODING, LANDSLIDES OR MUDSLIDES..

Tropical Storm Matthew Update 2 Saturday September 25, 2010

scubakevin — Sat, 25 Sep 2010 12:49:22 +0000

Tropical Storm Matthew the 18th named Tropical Event of the 2010 Hurricane Season moved over land in Nicaragua early this morning and is currently moving again over land in Honduras tracking to the West Northwest across Central America. Tropical Storm Matthew is producion TORRENTIAL RAINS in Central America. Matthew is packing winds of 45 mph / 75 kph, there are some stronger gusts at times but the big story with Matthew is the rain.

Warnings and Watches:

Tropical Storm Warnings in Nicaragua have been discontinued.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Honduras and Belize from Belize City SOUTH.

Tropical Storm Watches are in effect for Belize City NORTH.

Tropical Storm conditions are possible today on the Caribbean Coast of Guatamala but there are no watches or warnings in effect there.

Here in Mexico, we are of course continuing to watch Matthew Carefully, not so much for the areas of Cancun to Tulum or the Costa Maya areas but for CHIAPAS, CAMPECHE and VERACRUZ. Like Tropical Storm Karl Matthew is expected to have an impact on those states as he moves across land from Honduras looking for an exit into the Gulf of Mexico. As you know Veracruz is suffering from extensive flooding and overflowing rivers from 14 days of rain prior to Karl then Karl slammed them forcing the evacuations of tens of thousands and declarations of disaster areas in 400 communities in Veracruz.

I commented in a “comment” that we are already seeing some rain bands from the Northeast Outer bands of Tropical Storm Matthew so our clear skies here in Playa Del Carmen already gave way to clouds and gave us a drenching just minutes ago. Everywhere along the Caribbean Coast of Mexico from Cancun and Isla Mujeres South to Tulum we can expect periods like that during the day today and from Tulum to Chetumal including Mahahual and Bacalar you can expect Cloudy Skies and periods of heavy rain and thundershowers.

Satellite Image Showing Rain Intensity for Tropical Storm Matthew

You can see from the above image that there is widespread rain in the area of Nicaragua, Honduras and spreading into Guatamala. You can see the heaviest rain around Puerto Barrios and Puerto Cortes moving West Northwest towards to where Belize, Guatamala and Honduras meet on the Caribbean. You can see as well that there are still heavy showers to the south and southwest of the system as well as in our area to the Northeast which we are getting some scattered clouds from.

Here is a close up satellite image of the system

Tropical Satellite image Close up of the area affected by Tropical Storm Matthew.

Information updated by Kevin 08:30 hours

INVEST 95 Now Tropical Storm Matthew

Travel Guru — Fri, 24 Sep 2010 01:20:07 +0000

INVEST 95 during the last few hours became Tropical Depression 15 and now is Tropical Storm Matthew.

Tropical Storm Matthew continues to move to the west towards the western Caribbean Sea but what can we expect from him in the next couple of days will depend on various factors including a Cold Front that will start pushing down across the Gulf of Mexico to the Yucatan Peninsula.

As many of you know these cold fronts can bring strong winds but in this case as was the case when Mitch was trying to make his way up the coast towards Cancun but the Cold Front we had pushing down from the US kept Mitch in Central America for days as they battled for position which the cold front eventually won but our Central American neighbors became the losers as Mitch claimed an unknown number of lives.

Computer Models agree with my assesment that Matthew will cross the Nicaragua / Honduras area and either fizzle out or emerge in the Pacific. Regardless of what it does we know that Chiapas will be severely affected by this system and maybe southern Quintana Roo around Chetumal and Bacalar.

Current conditions in Cancun and The Riviera Maya are rainy with some strong winds at this time as a result of Strong convection.

Climatic Conditions for the next 24 hours

INVEST 95 to Threaten Mexican Caribbean Coast

scubakevin — Wed, 22 Sep 2010 14:19:51 +0000

The next system up for a pass along the Caribbean Coast of Mexico is INVEST 95 a low pressure system out in front of a Tropical Wave moving right now west from the southeastern Caribbean towards the coast of Nicaragua. At the current speed the low pressure area should reach Nicaragua on Saturday and most models have the system turning to the north and setting its sights on the coastal area of Quintana Roo.

Invest 95 taking aim at Central America and then the Caribbean Coast of Mexico

As you can see from the models we have most in agreement that after entering the area of Nicaragua and then Honduras (whether or not the system actually hits land there or not) the system will turn north and could either skip along the off shore areas from Belize to Cancun and then turn more north northeast and cross either Cuba and Florida or pass into the Yucatan Canal (that area between Cuba and Mexico entering the Gulf of Mexico. Two of the Models have this Low Pressure striking the Yucatan Peninsula between Chetumal and Playa Del Carmen most likely as a weak Tropical Storm at this time.

We will keep you updated on any changes in conditions or path of this system over the next couple of days and we are going to try to do a live weather taping from the beach in Playa Del Carmen.

Kevin

Tropical Storm Gaston Fizzled Out in the Atlantic

scubakevin — Fri, 03 Sep 2010 15:33:54 +0000

Tropical Storm Gaston fizzled out in the Tropical Atlantic encountering strong windshear and backwash from Danielle, Earl and fiona yesterday.

Obviously we will continue to watch the remnants of the low pressure area that is left from Gaston which is just basically a bunch of disorganized clouds and showers moving west for the time but we need to see what happens as that area enters warmer waters closer to the Lesser Antilles.

Kevin

Tropical Storm Gaston Update 1

scubakevin — Thu, 02 Sep 2010 14:59:35 +0000

Tropical Storm Gaston continues meandering west at 9 mph / 15 kph with no real change in strength, winds continue at 40 mph / 65 kph moving at 280º (west).

Although there are no watches or warnings in effect since Gaston is still quite east of the Northern Leeward Islands or Lesser Antilles but there is no doubt that somewhere from the Lesser Antilles to Puerto Rico a Watch or Warning will pop up based on the Spaghetti on the map below.

Tropical Storm Fiona Computer Models.

You can see from the Model Cancun way off in the left top corner and models still not quite in agreement for a track yet, this early error margin is great so we will watch this carefully for the next few days. If the models suggesting that Tropical Storm Gaston passes into the Caribbean are correct the area from Anguilla to Dominica should get the first hit around Wednesday next week thus we would start to see watches popping up over the weekend once the system becomes more stable and the computer data more reliable.

For the time I will say that Tropical Storm Gaston will NOT AFFECT MEXICO but I might have to update that over the weekend.

Kevin

Cancun – Riviera Maya Weather July 31, 2010

scubakevin — Sat, 31 Jul 2010 14:49:12 +0000

Cancun and Riviera Maya Weather for July 31, 2010 including Puerto Morelos, Playa Del Carmen, Puerto Aventuras, Tulum and the Islands of Cozumel and Isla Mujeres.

Weather Discussion:

Another beautiful day today here in Cancun and The Riviera Maya after, Sunny, Hot and Humid is still on the menu for today with temperatures reaching in to the Mid 90′s F / 30′s C from time to time we will enjoy some scattered clouds around the area but nothing that will likely give us any rain until maybe the overnight when we have a chance of those overnight showers again but nothing that is going to cool down the temperatures over the weekend.

Still Raining in the Northwest of Mexico but the area along the Gulf coast of Veracruz, Campeche, Tabasco and Yucatan is cleared up and our area looking really good today. The Pacific Coast of Chiapas has cloudy skies with rain and thunderstorms heavy at times as a result of Low Pressure off the coast of Chiapas and Oaxaca and in the caribbean we are seeing some shower activity ahead of Tropical Wave 19 which is now in the southwestern Caribbean moving quickly (45 kph). thunderstorms to the area from the Lesser Antilles to Colombia and Venezuela. As the Tropical Wave 19 bumps into the Yucatan Peninsula today quite south of our area it will continue to bring rain heavy at times to areas of Central America and Northern South America, currently from around Costa Rica south into Colombia around Cartegena and Barranquila it is raining heavy at times with some thunderstorm activity as well.

Off to the east of Tropical Storm 19 we are watching Tropical Storm 20 which is also following the path of 19 so little to worry about at this time as far as rain and storms for the Cancun to Riviera Maya areas of Mexico but as these Tropical Waves cross over Central America into the Pacific they will bring lots of rain to the coastal areas of Chiapas and Oaxaca as usual.

Tropical Satellite Image showing condtions in Mexico July 31, 2010

Current Condtions in Playa Del Carmen:

Skies: Sunny with some scattered clouds.

Temperatures: Current 83° F / 28° C Highs 95° F / 35° C Overnight Lows 78° F / 26° C

Humidity: 84%

Barometer: 30.00 / 1015 Steady (Playa Del Carmen)

Wind: 0 MPH / 0 kph No Wind

Warnings / Watches: There are no watches or warnings for our area of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Weather Outlook for Cancun, Playa Del Carmen and The Riviera Maya.

While Tropical Storm 19 is in front of the Southern Yucatan Peninsula moving quickly to the west anxious to cross Central America and get into the warm Pacific Water Tropical Wave 20 is around the area of Puerto Rico extending south past the ABC islands and also moving west. Conditions in the Tropical Atlantic and Caribbean are only slightly favorable for development into a tropical event over the next couple of days. At the same time we are still keeping an eye on INVEST 90 out there in the Tropical Atlantic behind TW20, most computer models have INVEST 90 moving along the same path as Bonnie across the southeast tip of Puerto Rico and maintaining a path on the east of Cuba and heading towards the same area of Florida as Bonnie but that is many days away to call. For our area today and tomorrow beautiful weather, sunny, hot and humid, yes I said it before if you are going out there to start that tan or doing activities in the sun or just walking around, SUNBLOCK…

Cancun – Riviera Maya Weather UPDATE July 17, 2010

Travel Guru — Sun, 18 Jul 2010 01:19:26 +0000

Cancun and Riviera Maya Weather UPDATE for July 17, 2010 including Puerto Morelos, Playa Del Carmen, Puerto Aventuras, Tulum and the Islands of Cozumel and Isla Mujeres.

Weather Discussion:

Today started out as a cloudy and windy day with some areas of scattered rain in the morning and showers but evolved here in Playa Del Carmen into a somewhat nice afternoon with some blue skies and sunshine for a few hours. Temperatures reached 90° F before the blue sky gave way to clouds again and our entire area again was treated to those afternoon and early evening showers, nothing sustained but still enough to bring the temps down as well as the humidity a little.

Graphic of the current and future conditions for the Southeast of Mexico Through Wednesday

Worst Weather of the day was in Merida where they are still experiencing severe thunderstorms, heavy downpours and Cloud to Ground Lightning.

Yesterday we talked about the inverted trough that is affecting the area and continues to affect today and most of tomorrow from the Bay of Campeche to Tamaulipas tomorrow will begin to move away from Campeche and affect more Veracruz . There is an area of low pressure that you saw on yesterdays Graphic (one of three) that is affecting the area of Chiapas, the system has alot of humidity and is presenting heavy rains to torrential rains in that area of Southeast Mexico and parts of Belize and Central America. That system will continue to move along the coast there and begin affecting Oaxaca and Guerrero on Monday.

Tropical Wave 16 (don’t think I forgot) is in the Caribbean and bringing unstable conditions to the area. Normally this wave wouldn’t have come up this far but the high pressure that was in the Gulf of Mexico moved up and out and low pressure prevails in the areas now so TW16 moving closer to Central Quintana Roo which is our area in part. Monday Tropical Wave 16 moves in front of the coastal area of Quintana Roo increasing the chance of rain heavy at times during the day Monday and I venture to say Tuesday as well depending on how fast it moves and conditions in the Gulf of Mexico. By Wednesday TW 16 should be in the Bay of Campeche but we could see some after affects in the way of some clouds to scattered showers or thunderstorms.

2 tropical Waves still haunt the Tropical Atlantic moving west toward the coast of South America but still are a week away from arriving near Mexico.

Tropical Depression 6E in the pacific and moving away from Mexico currently not affecting Mexico.

Current Condtions in Playa Del Carmen:

Skies: Cloudy and scattered areas of light rain in the area.

Temperatures: Current 82° F / 28° C Highs 84° F / 29° C Overnight Lows 75° F / 24° C

Humidity: 74%

Barometer: 30.00 / 1015 Steady (Playa Del Carmen)

Wind: 10 mph /17 kph

Warnings / Watches: There are currently no warnings or watches in our area.

Weather Outlook for Playa Del Carmen

I know this is not what you all were looking for but there are some condition changes for this weeks weather for Cancun and The Riviera Maya as well as Yucatan, Campeche, Chiapas and Southern areas of Tabasco and Veracruz. The Southern area of Quintana Roo in particular should be alert for Severe Weather beginning Monday and continuing Tuesday, Although no warnings have been posted a Severe Storm Watch is in effect for Southeast Mexico including the states of Quintana Roo, Yucatan, and Campeche. Severe Storm Warnings are up for the weekend including Monday and Tuesday for Chiapas, Oaxaca as well as Southern Portions of Tabasco and Veracruz. Southern Campeche has a Severe Storm Warning for Tuesday and Wednesday as Tropical Wave 16 moves across the Yucatan Peninsula for the Bay of Campeche.

Photo of Weather in Playa Del Carmen Saturday July 17, 2010

Tropical Storm Alex – Riviera Maya and Cancun Update 1

Travel Guru — Sat, 26 Jun 2010 21:03:23 +0000

Tropical Storm Alex Update for Cancun, Playa Del Carmen y La Riviera Maya including Cozumel and Isla Mujeres.

This is an intermediate report based on new information and changes in direction, speed and potential strike areas of Tropical Storm Alex.

As I mentioned in the earlier report I expect that Tropical Storm Alex will come ashore in the next 12 to 18 hours between Belize and Chetumal in a direction to cross the South East of Mexico and emerge into the Gulf of Mexico at the Bay of Campeche.

Just a little while ago Alex picked up a little forward speed as well as wind speed as he is nearing the coastline. Although currently it is not raining in Cancun it is raining with heavy downpours at times in Playa del Carmen and heavier rain in Southern Quintana Roo. The rains from Tropical Storm Alex outer bands even extend across to western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.

Areas of Concern for Mexico from Alex

We continue to expect heavy rain and thunderstorms as well as wind and elevated sea levels bringing local flooding to low areas as well as beach erosion from Chetumal to Cancun where we can expect seas to be 6 to 8 feet above normal and higher as we move further south toward the center of Tropical Storm Alex. Cancun, Playa Del Carmen and the area of The Riviera Maya from Playa south to the border with the Costa Maya will not be hit by the storm but we will be struck by the heavy rain and winds.

This heavy precipitation will likely continue for the next 36 hours as Alex moves across the interior of the Yucatan Peninsula and out to the Bay of Campeche.

Here is a rain accumlation prediction compiled by the Meteorlogical Office in Mexico for the next 7 days.

Rain Accumulation Map for the period June 26, 2010 to July 4, 2010