Cancun and Riviera Maya Weather for Saturday August 28, 2010 including Puerto Morelos, Playa Del Carmen, Puerto Aventuras, Tulum and the Islands of Cozumel and Isla Mujeres.
Weather Discussion:
Alot of weather to talk about still but here in the Cancun to Costa Maya not much new to talk about but lets get to it.
Hurricane Danielle downgraded to a Category 2 hurricane with winds of 110 miles per hour moving to the North NorthEAST at 12 miles per hour keeping Danielle far from the coastal areas of the US and Bermuda. Hurricane Danielle is NO THREAT to Mexico and this will be the final comments in our reports about Danielle.
Tropical Storm Earl, slightly weaker today(wind estimates of 55mph), out there and the most concerning at the moment for the Leeward Islands still moving West, although computer models DO bring Tropical Storm Earl much closer to the Lesser Antilles, Antigua and Puerto Rico as well as the Virgin Islands than Danielle and much closer than expected. Tropical Storm Watches are up for Saint Martin, Saint Barthelemy, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, Saba and St. Eustatius. Conditions in the Tropical Atlantic are VERY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT so Tropical Storm Earl should get that upgrade sometime over the next day or so. Tropical Storm Earl like Hurricane Danielle is of NO THREAT to Mexico.
INVEST 97L which will most likely become the next named tropical system of the season, this is an INTENSE Tropical Wave that has very organized clouds, showers and thundershowers associated with it and Conditions are Excellent for development of this system. We will keep a watchful eye on the future Tropical Storm Fiona. Currently about 500 miles west of the position where Hurricane Danielle formed way back and models altough at this point very inaccurate show that this system should follow along the same path as Danielle and Earl.
On the Pacific side of Mexico we still have Hurricane Frank is now a Tropical Depression moving almost due North away from The National Meteorlogical Office has a Special Avisory for Severe Storms until 3PM today for CHIAPAS (Southeast and South), VERACRUZ (South) and OAXACA (Istmo de Tehuantepec). The Advisory states that “Intense Storms could be accompanied by Heavy Rain, Cloud to Cloud and Cloud to Ground Lightning, Hail, that can cause injury or damage to property. Low areas could be subject to flash flooding as well as landslides in mountain areas.
Cold Front #1 continues pushing down from the US into the Gulf of Mexico with a low pressure area behind it which can cause some unstable conditions as well as windy conditions and lower temperatures. You can check it out on the map.
Tropical Satellite for Tropical Atlantic, Caribbean and Mexico showing current areas of Concern
On the weather map here you can see that we have that Tropical Wave 25 has crossed the Yucatan Peninsula but its center has dropped down and is the system that is currently causing the previously mentioned Intense Storm Warnings from the Mexican Meteorlogical Office. This tropical wave has some scattered and disorganized clouds as well as some very disorganized showers and thundershowers moving in front of it.
Here in Cancun and The Riviera Maya we have partly to mostly cloudy skies, in the morning we had some shower activity that moved through quickly and gave way to mostly sunny skies. During the day we will have the chance of occasional scattered showers very isolated and not sustained. The conditions in the Caribbean are NOT FAVORABLE for development.
Finally in the Gulf of Mexico near Louisiana a Low Pressure area that popped up yesterday (what a surprise on this odd weather day) should head inland in Louisiana some time today. The conditions in the Gulf of Mexico are NOT FAVORABLE for development.
Current Condtions in Playa Del Carmen:
Skies: Mostly Cloudy with scattered showers around the area.
Temperatures: Current 88 F / 31° C Highs 91° F / 33° C Overnight Lows 75° F / 24° C
Humidity: 70%
Barometer: 29.95/ 1014 Steady (Playa Del Carmen)
Wind: 14 mph / 22 kph coming from the southeast
Warnings / Watches: There are no watches or warnings for our area of the Yucatan Peninsula.
Weather Outlook for Cancun, Playa Del Carmen and The Riviera Maya.
For Cancun and The Riviera Maya for Ssaturday and Sunday we will enjoy some more of what we had yesterday, partly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, hot and humid day. Partly Sunny skies will prevail most of the time, temperatures could reach the low 90′s F / 30′s C both days and of course thanks to our field of high humidity (above 80%) a chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thundershower. Overnight lows will be around 75º F / 24º C with a bit more wind as Cold Front #1 begins pushing down and Tropical Wave 25 moves west off the Yucatan Peninsula. We have a chance of scattered brief showers or thundershowers around the area throughout the entire day and region.
Above I already commented on the situations with Tropical Depression Frank and Hurricane Danielle and Tropical Storm Earl so I won’t repeat that here.
Tropical Wave 25 and an inverted Trough can affect us with disorganized and scattered clouds and showers over the next 24 hour but nothing of any consequence but the Coastal Areas of Chiapas, Veracruz and oaxaca are under a Intense Storm Warning until 3PM today because of Tropical Wave 25.
Conditions in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico are NOT FAVORABLE for development.
If you take a look at the our Local Radar Here you can see that there is no shower activity within 50 miles of Cancun (radar range is 299 kilometers). We see some scattered shower activity outside the 100 mile area to the Northeast, East and Southeast of Cancun but very scattered. Our Radar is updated every 15 minutes 24 hours per day.
Meanwhile if you are in Cancun, The Riviera Maya or the Islands here be sure you get the sunblock on whether you are laying on the Beach, doing a tour or just walking around getting oriented, the sun will be behind clouds from time to time today making you think you don’t need sunblock but you DO. Make sure you hydrate, drink lots of water, and if you are at the pool or on the beach stagger between those beers and cocktails a nice bottle of water. Don’t take the sun for granted, enjoy your vacations.